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Online Casinos : Simulating Real World Play
By http://www.mysportsbookonline.info/

Many people around the world play at online casinos, and that’s fine if it’s your only
source of gambling. However, online casinos are nowhere near as close to the real
thing when it comes to simulation. Take Craps for example. The casino determines
what number rolls by using a random number generator. However, just how random
is random? If you have been in a casino, you know that every single person at a
table has a unique rolling pattern. Some stack the dice and casually vault them into
the air. Others shake them up and rocket them to the back wall, while other
frequently launch the dice off the table or fall short of the back wall. There are even
players who change their rolling pattern every roll or point.

An online casino does not have the ability to simulate this. Sure, they can
manipulate the random number generator, but there’s still no way to accurately
simulate table action. Having programmed, I know that a random number generator
is not all that random. Worse, if the computer simply “picks a number”, it is not even
a proper setup to being with. Let’s keep looking at Craps. Does the casino have a
random number generator that simply picks a number between one and twelve? If
so, all the numbers have an even shot at coming out, which is against true
probability. Perhaps they list out all probable combinations and then the computer
selects one. This would be a little more accurate, probability wise, but it still lacks
the real randomness of live action—and weird events are more likely to ensue.

What I’m about to tell you is true and happens more frequently that one would
imagine. A tester recently played at an online casino (Craps) to monitor number
frequency in the field. Within the span of just 150 rolls, the computer rolled 11 non-
field numbers in a row and then followed it up a handful of rolls later by rolling

12
non-field numbers in a row. What’s the big deal you ask? Well, first, the field has a
44.5% chance of winning on every roll and second; the probability of throwing 11
non-field rolls in a row is .0015%. The probability of throwing 12 non-field numbers
in a row is .0008%. These events should happen once every 667 rolls and once every
1176 rolls respectively, yet both where seen within a handful of rolls from each
other within the 150 rolls monitored.

But wait, there’s more. Within these same, now historic, 150 rolls, a six was not
thrown for 13-16 rolls 5 times. The probability of not throwing a six 13 times is
14.5% (9% for 16 rolls)—this happened 5 times in 150 rolls. The same happened to
the eight—in fact—there were two instances where an eight was not thrown for
18-20 times. The probability of this happening is 5-7% and it happened twice.

When you add all of these things together, you get a more accurate picture of just how unrealistic random number generators are for simulating real casino action. I
am not trying to scare you away from playing. In fact, money can be made and fun
can be had at online casinos. However, you need to realize that you are playing in a
different environment with different rules. You can’t go chasing bets thinking they
are overdue, mathematically, to come in, because this is a different world with a
different way of producing outcomes. Playing strategies that you would use in a real
live casino might not be applicable in an online casino.